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Dashboard for assessing current economic activity (10/12/2022)

According to the dashboard results for September, 18 out of 29 factors indicate an overheating of the economy. The analysis was carried out in 4 blocks: inflation, monetary, economic and external terms. A semantic analysis of the National Bank of the Republic of Kazakhstan press release was also carried out.

1 indicator in the inflation block and 2 in the economic conditions block have moved into the cooling zone compared to the previous dashboard. Price factors for the period under review show an increase in overheating, while indicators of business activity demonstrate cooling. Thus, there is an imbalance between supply and demand when the latter does not have time to respond to the corresponding fiscal and credit incentives. And in these conditions, it is necessary to focus on the point factors of excess demand: consumer lending and non-scalable fiscal motivation. Further monetary tightening may lead to an asymmetric and undesirable effect, when supply may shrink more, and demand does not react as appropriate.

Jusan Analytics

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How not to be unemployed: what you need to know about the future labour market

Experts of the World Economic Forum (WEF) presented new forecasts for business, professions and skills development in the next 5 years. The study is based on surveys of the largest employers and their expectations regarding business development, professions and skills. The survey involved 803 companies employing more than 11.3 million people, covering 27 industry clusters and 45 economies worldwide.

Key insights:

  • Employers expect structural changes in 23% of jobs;
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  • Economic challenges are the greatest threat to the labour market;
  • Advanced technologies will remain a key driver in business transformation;
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  • Up to 43% of all business tasks will be performed by machines in the coming 5 years;
  • The most popular profession is artificial intelligence and machine learning specialists;
  • Analytical thinking is a key skill for a successful career;
  • 47% of the surveyed employers evaluate their skills when selecting candidates, and 45% require a diploma;
  • In the next five years, 44% of the basic skills of employees will become obsolete and 6 out of 10 employees will have to undergo training.

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labour marketBusinessAlexandra Molchanovskaya

06 September 23

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Financial analytics: How much do we spend on routine expenditures?

We face a variety of expenses that vary depending on our needs, circumstances and preferences in our daily lives. Some people need quality food, others need to repay loans regularly and for some entertainment and recreation become a priority. However, the question often arises: Do we have enough income to meet all these needs? What amount of money is needed to achieve a comfortable standard of living? Is it possible to classify yourself as middle class by your expenses? 

In this regard, we decided to analyze the core expenditures that each person or family needs to achieve a minimum level of comfort and meet basic life needs. As a result of the study, we divided the employees of Astana and Almaty cities into 6 groups depending on their income and expenses and also determined the size of each class: the least well-off, low-income, lower middle class, middle class, prosperous and well-off. 

Key insights:

  • An average of 246.3 thousand tenge or 60% of salary is spent on core expenditures every month.
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  • Employees with above-average incomes make up the smallest share of the employed population - 2%. 

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